Splashing it around
The great government MOP 5000 giveaway is a drop in Macau’s budget surplus ocean, but is it the best way to spend MOP 2.6 billion?
In his indiscriminate flinging of cash at Macau residents, no doubt Chief Executive Edmund Ho Hau-wah won many supporters.
But for some the handout, that will cost MOP 2.6 billion, was a shameless spend, spend, spend bid to defuse rising social tension and refashion the image of a government that has been tagged by many residents as lacking vision and uncaring.
It can be argued that it’s not economically irresponsible. Macau’s booming economy means that spending is not a problem. Noone is questioning that. It is more questionable whether the spending is responsible and equitable and what impact it will have on inflation. In making the announcement in April, Mr Ho said the subsidy was an “immediate solution” to inflation. Since then Secretary for Economy and Finance Francis Tam Pak Yuen admitted the MOP 5000 payout for Macau’s 480,000 permanent residents and MOP 3000 for the 66,700 non-permanent residents could boost inflation. Mr Tam added at a press conference last month that the July 1 handout was “appropriate” as the “government is sharing its financial surplus with residents in need”.
Many believe the handout isn’t so much about investing in the city or in the needy, as investing in silencing the masses as inflation continues to climb and income inequality grows. The timing of the announcement, just days before May 1, a day traditionally marked by protests and anti-government sentiment, has also come under question. Vice-rector for Research and International Relations at Macau Inter-University Institute (IIUM), Professor Ivo Carneiro de Sousa, described the subsidy as a “political decision” that would do nothing to address social problems. “It will help families with solving contractual problems, like paying school tuition, the mortgage or other bills,” Professor de Sousa said. “It does not address the problem in the economy.”
Professor de Sousa said while many people were quick to criticise the move because it did not take into account income inequality, he said it was important to note that Macau did not have the framework in place to do this. “It is strange; normally you should give more to the poor and less to the rich, but in Macau there is no financial system to do this,” he said. “There is no system to say clearly who is rich, who is middle-class and who is poor, so if you are going to do this, handing the same amount to everyone appears the only way. You can determine income in the public service… but because of the tax system we do not have the basic tools to do this.”
Assistant Professor of Economics at Macau University Henry Lei Chun-kwok said there was no doubt the subsidy was an absolute bonanza for the poor, but he too questioned the long-term benefits. Dr Lei said while you would be hard pressed to find many people in Macau who disagreed with the handout, he believed there were better ways to spend the money.
“People, including myself, have no reason not to support the idea as we are all beneficiaries,” Dr Lei said. “It will help in the short term but the price level of everything in Macau is going up so fast which means a decrease in quality of life and purchasing power in the long term. Solving this by giving away 5000 patacas is a policy with a big question mark over it.”

There is no doubt that inside the dense economic jungle that is the gaming sector boom, there has been a pot of gold for many, but not for all. Hard as it is for some to believe the MOP 5000 subsidy is equivalent to more than 60 per cent of the medium wage in Macau which stood at MOP 7926 in December last year. Couple this with a consumer price index (CPI) jump of 8.72 per cent in April when compared to the same period last year, and it is not surprising sections of the community are struggling to make ends meet. According to figures from Macau’s Statistics and Census Bureau the cost of food and non-alcoholic beverages in Macau jumped 18.6 per cent in April this year over that of last year, the price of health services went up 13.9 per cent and transport increased 10.99 per cent. The price of canned meat jumped 80 per cent, rice 62 per cent, fresh beef 68 per cent and vegetables 21 per cent.
As the cost of living continues to skyrocket, more and more people are crossing the border to the mainland to shop. Dr Lei said meat and vegetables could be purchased for about half the price of what the same items cost in Macau. “There is a huge price gap between Macau and Zhuhai, that is why you see so many people crossing the border with their shopping carts,” he said. “The Chinese government has imposed controls on price rises so it only makes sense for people to take advantage of that if they need to.”
According to Dr Lei it is definitely not just inflation that is driving up prices in Macau, but also shopkeepers eager to cash in on residents’ ability to pay. “It is not all imported inflation, shops know many people can afford to pay more and so they charge more,” he said. “The biggest problem here is that it has a big impact on the poor. There is no doubt that across the board prices have increased much faster than what CPI indicates.”
Dr Lei said the price levels in Taipa were typically about 10 per cent more expensive than those charged in Macau. He said many shopkeepers justified this due to the higher cost of rent in Taipa and having to pay travel allowance for staff. “They observe a higher purchasing power in Taipa, so the prices are more expensive,” he said. “Shops’ input, rental, salaries and other expenses are rising so they adjust the price levels about two to three times a year. Even McDonalds increased the cost of its set meals by about MOP 2 this year, which is almost 10 per cent.”
According to Dr Lei for a family of four living in the northern part of Macau, the MOP 5000 subsidy would be enough for about one month’s expenses. “There is no doubt for a low income family this is going to be a huge benefit and the MOP 150 a month the government is giving towards electricity will also help,” he said. “But CPI is growing too fast so it will do little to help the next month or the month after that.”
There is not just the problem of inflation, personal debt levels in Macau are also on the rise spurred on by the boom in property prices. As wages increase and unemployment remains low, consumer confidence is growing. Figures from the Monetary Authority of Macau (AMCM) show a significant increase in loans to Macau residents over the past few years. The total amount of loans and advances to the private sector jumped more than 60 per cent from about MOP 43 billion in January 2006 to more than 70 billion in January this year. The number of car loans increased about 30 per cent in the 12 months to December 2007. At the same time the value of goods bought in department stores increased about 30 per cent and the value of watches, clocks and jewelry bought in Macau more than doubled. In the past three years the total assets of Macau’s 27 banks rose by more than 60 per cent, total credit by 46 per cent and deposits by 60 per cent. From 2004 to 2006 bank profits jumped an astounding 184 per cent.
Professor de Sousa said while there was clearly more money in Macau due to the gaming industry boom, the benefit to the “low and average class” citizens had been limited. “The textiles industry has disappeared very fast, traditional shops are disappearing and the workers do not have other skills,” he said. “It is difficult to integrate this type of worker into the new Macau.”
Despite the government’s rhetoric on the subsidy being an immediate solution to inflation, Professor de Sousa said there was a better way to spend the money that would benefit people long term. “The only alternative is to invest in education, invest in human resources,” he explained. “To increase the skills and qualifications of the working population so they can compete in the workforce.”
Professor de Sousa said the government also needed to address the problem of how to take the “huge economic” growth in Macau and create economic development. He pointed to Dubai as an example of what could be done. “The only other case you can compare Macau to is the rapid growth in Dubai,” he said. “They are trying to build an international airport to rival Hong Kong and Singapore… Macau needs a strategy like this to take the extra money it has and to invest in becoming an international city.” According to Dr Lei the government needs a “long-term and consistent” approach to dealing with social and economic problems. “We need to think long term and not just use a piecemeal approach,” he said. “Learn from other countries and work out a good balance between equity and efficiency.”






